C3I系统仿真及仿真环境研究

首先讨论了C3I系统开发中存在的问题并提出解决这些问题的重要性,然后从C3I系统描述模型和仿真环境两个方面,介绍了国内外对于C3I系统仿真的研究现状和发展趋势.最后介绍了我们正在研制的基于对象Petri网的仿真演示环境的特点以及设计和实现方法.     

用于闭式循环柴油机不依赖空气推进装置的吸收器尺寸估算模型研究

根据闭式循环柴油机推进装置（ＣＣＤＡＩＰ）的废气处理要求,研究提出了旋转式二氧化碳吸收器的填料内径、外径、轴向高度的估算数学模型,并对用水吸收二氧化碳的吸收器填料设计尺寸进行了操作安全性校核．     

MIMO-OFDM系统Turbo接收机中的信道估计器

设计了一种新的MIMO-OFDM系统Turbo接收机中的信道估计器.考虑了信道估计误差对编码比特外信息计算的影响,利用软球形译码器的搜索列表和解码器反馈的先验信息对传统EM信道估计中的软信息近似处理进行了修正,获得了更为准确的软符号统计信息用于信道估计,提出了考虑软符号互相关性的Bayesian EM(BEM)信道估计算法.仿真结果表明,新算法较传统EM算法具有更低的误码率和更小的估计均方误差值.     

基于联系数的电子装备体系效能倍增效应分析

提出了基于联系数的电子装备系统和体系作战效能倍增效应分析新方法。首先介绍了联系数的定义与数学运算,其次提出以基于作战能力指数的同异联系数来描述电子装备的作战效能,并根据不确定系数的取值分别对电子装备系统和体系的作战效能倍增效应进行了分析,最后基于侦察装备对目标的侦察能力进行了实例分析,结果表明该方法合理可行。     

Newsvendor bounds and heuristics for serial supply chains with regular and expedited shipping

We study an infinite‐horizon, N‐stage, serial production/inventory system with two transportation modes between stages: regular shipping and expedited shipping. The optimal inventory policy for this system is a top–down echelon base‐stock policy, which can be computed through minimizing 2N nested convex functions recursively (Lawson and Porteus, Oper Res 48 (2000), 878–893). In this article, we first present some structural properties and comparative statics for the parameters of the optimal inventory policies, we then derive simple, newsvendor‐type lower and upper bounds for the optimal control parameters. These results are used to develop near optimal heuristic solutions for the echelon base‐stock policies. Numerical studies show that the heuristic performs well. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

高级在轨系统的自相似业务量预测链路优化模型

在AOS高级在轨系统链路协议的基础上,分析了具有自相似特性的业务流量,提出了一种基于FARIMA模型的自相似预测的链路优化模型。该预测模型基于分数阶统计理论,在估计赫斯特参数的基础上,根据不同的时间粒度,提前预测突发业务量的到来,从而降低了网络丢包率。仿真表明模型在20点预测内具有较好拟合性,在一定置信区间下具有较好的预测成功概率和较低的虚警概率,同时使网络丢包率大幅下降。     

基于网络结构的武器装备体系能力分析

现代战争以及从"平台为中心"转向以"网络为中心",强调的是通过各类武器平台通过相互之间的协作配合而形成作战网络来实现体系能力。从宏观和微观两个角度分析了武器装备体系能力的实现机理,构建了武器装备体系的作战网络结构模型,给出了作战网络结构模型中的节点类型和关系类型,提出了能力环的概念,从作战网络结构的角度对武器装备体系的整体能力进行了分析,并给出了具体算例。     

一类非线性系统的自适应模糊反推近似滑模控制

针对一类含有未知非线性函数项和外界干扰的不确定纯反馈非线性系统,提出了一种自适应模糊反推近似滑模变结构控制方法。采用中值定理和隐函数定理使未知非仿射输入函数拥有显式的控制输入,利用模糊系统逼近未知非线性函数,动态面控制技术解决了反推设计中出现的"微分爆炸"问题。所提出的自适应近似滑模控制方案削弱了传统滑模控制中的抖振现象。从理论上证明了所设计的控制器能够保证闭环系统所有信号半全局一致终结有界。仿真算例验证了算法的有效性。     

Nuclear deterrence and cyber warfare: coexistence or competition?

Nuclear deterrence and cyber war seem almost antithetical in their respective intellectual pedigrees. Nuclear weapons are unique in their ability to create mass destruction in a short time. Information or “cyber” weapons, at least for the most part, aim at sowing confusion or mass disruption instead of widespread physical destruction. Nevertheless, there are some intersections between cyber and nuclear matters, and these have the potential to become troublesome for the future of nuclear deterrence. For example, cyber attacks might complicate the management of a nuclear crisis. As well, information attacks on command-control and communications systems might lead to a mistaken nuclear launch based on false warnings, to erroneous interpretations of data or to panic on account of feared information blackout. It is not inconceivable that future nuclear strike planning will include a preliminary wave of cyber strikes or at least a more protracted “preparation of the battlefield” by roaming through enemy networks to plant malware or map vulnerabilities.     

Sharp bounds for the reliability of systems and mixtures with ordered components

In this article, we study how to derive bounds for the reliability and the expected lifetime of a coherent system with heterogeneous ordered components. These bounds can be used to compare the performance of the systems obtained by permuting the components at a given system structure, that is, to study where we should place the different components at a system structure to get the most reliable system. Moreover, a similar procedure is applied to get bounds for mixtures and for the generalized proportional hazard rate model when the baseline populations are ordered. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 108–116, 2017